Iowa Predix
By Mike Long
1. Obama
2. Edwards
3. Hillary
Iowa Dems are hard-left. Edwards is more liberal/populist than Obama and would win any other time, but Obama provides an opportunity to vent some white guilt. Hillary recovers in New Hampshire and it’s all over after that. (Translation, tonight doesn’t matter.)
1. Huckabee
2. Romney
3. Thompson
4. McCain
Huckabee has the organization behind him of the organized Christian Right, and that counts in the caucus process. Romney will make it close tho as Christian Rs realize that Huck isn’t really a conservative. Thompson is the beneficiary.
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